2024 Week 12 · Nov 16, 2024, 8:00 PM · Fifth Third Stadium

Sam Houston @ Kennesaw State

Predicted scoreLikely

Sam Houston

27.8

Kennesaw State

16.7

Kennesaw State win probability: 23%

Margin (Kennesaw State − Sam Houston): -11.0 (80% range -31 to 8)

Total: 44.5 (80% range 24 to 66)

Actual: Sam Houston 23 – Kennesaw State 17 (margin error 5.0, total error 4.5)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.