2024 Week 12 · Nov 16, 2024, 8:00 PM · Maverik Stadium
Hawai'i @ Utah State
Predicted scoreLean
Hawai'i
28.5
Utah State
33.3
Utah State win probability: 62%
Margin (Utah State − Hawai'i): 4.8 (80% range -17 to 25)
Total: 61.8 (80% range 37 to 89)
Actual: Hawai'i 10 – Utah State 55 (margin error 40.2, total error 3.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 28 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.59% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.58% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.57% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.