2024 Week 12 · Nov 16, 2024, 5:00 PM · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium

Louisiana Tech @ Western Kentucky

Predicted scoreLikely

Louisiana Tech

19.2

Western Kentucky

31.3

Western Kentucky win probability: 78%

Margin (Western Kentucky − Louisiana Tech): 12.2 (80% range -7 to 32)

Total: 50.5 (80% range 28 to 74)

Actual: Louisiana Tech 12 – Western Kentucky 7 (margin error 17.2, total error 31.5)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.