2024 Week 11 · Nov 10, 2024, 1:00 AM · Beaver Stadium
Washington @ Penn State
Predicted scoreLikely
Washington
19.8
Penn State
31.7
Penn State win probability: 78%
Margin (Penn State − Washington): 12.0 (80% range -7 to 32)
Total: 51.5 (80% range 28 to 75)
Actual: Washington 6 – Penn State 35 (margin error 17.0, total error 10.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.77% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.65% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.