Predicted scoreToss-up
Alabama
28.2
LSU
26.8
LSU win probability: 46%
Margin (LSU − Alabama): -1.5 (80% range -21 to 19)
Total: 55.0 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: Alabama 42 – LSU 13 (margin error 27.5, total error 0.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.58% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.58% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.