Predicted scoreConfident
Maryland
20.2
Oregon
39.6
Oregon win probability: 88%
Margin (Oregon − Maryland): 19.4 (80% range -1 to 41)
Total: 59.7 (80% range 35 to 86)
Actual: Maryland 18 – Oregon 39 (margin error 1.6, total error 2.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 31 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.56% |
| 17 | 35 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.