2024 Week 11 · Nov 10, 2024, 12:00 AM · Neyland Stadium

Mississippi State @ Tennessee

Predicted scoreConfident

Mississippi State

18.2

Tennessee

36.5

Tennessee win probability: 87%

Margin (Tennessee − Mississippi State): 18.3 (80% range -3 to 39)

Total: 54.7 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: Mississippi State 14 – Tennessee 33 (margin error 0.7, total error 7.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.