2024 Week 11 · Nov 10, 2024, 12:00 AM · Amon G. Carter Stadium

Oklahoma State @ TCU

Predicted scoreToss-up

Oklahoma State

29.5

TCU

33.5

TCU win probability: 60%

Margin (TCU − Oklahoma State): 4.0 (80% range -17 to 25)

Total: 63.0 (80% range 38 to 90)

Actual: Oklahoma State 13 – TCU 38 (margin error 21.0, total error 12.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.