2024 Week 11 · Nov 9, 2024, 9:30 PM · Joe Aillet Stadium

Jacksonville State @ Louisiana Tech

Predicted scoreLean

Jacksonville State

30.6

Louisiana Tech

23.0

Louisiana Tech win probability: 32%

Margin (Louisiana Tech − Jacksonville State): -7.5 (80% range -28 to 13)

Total: 53.6 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: Jacksonville State 44 – Louisiana Tech 37 (margin error 0.5, total error 27.4)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.