2024 Week 11 · Nov 9, 2024, 8:30 PM · Bridgeforth Stadium

Georgia State @ James Madison

Predicted scoreLikely

Georgia State

20.0

James Madison

33.6

James Madison win probability: 80%

Margin (James Madison − Georgia State): 13.6 (80% range -7 to 35)

Total: 53.6 (80% range 31 to 78)

Actual: Georgia State 7 – James Madison 38 (margin error 17.4, total error 8.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.