2024 Week 11 · Nov 9, 2024, 8:30 PM · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium (neutral site)

Iowa State @ Kansas

Predicted scoreLean

Iowa State

30.2

Kansas

25.1

Kansas win probability: 38%

Margin (Kansas − Iowa State): -5.1 (80% range -25 to 16)

Total: 55.3 (80% range 31 to 80)

Actual: Iowa State 36 – Kansas 45 (margin error 14.1, total error 25.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.