2024 Week 11 · Nov 6, 2024, 12:30 AM · Kelly/Shorts Stadium

Bowling Green @ Central Michigan

Predicted scoreLean

Bowling Green

30.2

Central Michigan

22.0

Central Michigan win probability: 30%

Margin (Central Michigan − Bowling Green): -8.2 (80% range -28 to 12)

Total: 52.2 (80% range 30 to 76)

Actual: Bowling Green 23 – Central Michigan 13 (margin error 1.8, total error 16.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.