Predicted scoreToss-up
TCU
29.9
Baylor
29.6
Baylor win probability: 50%
Margin (Baylor − TCU): -0.3 (80% range -21 to 21)
Total: 59.5 (80% range 35 to 86)
Actual: TCU 34 – Baylor 37 (margin error 3.3, total error 11.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.57% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.57% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.55% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.