2024 Week 10 · Nov 2, 2024, 8:00 PM · University Stadium (NM)
Wyoming @ New Mexico
Predicted scoreToss-up
Wyoming
29.8
New Mexico
30.3
New Mexico win probability: 51%
Margin (New Mexico − Wyoming): 0.4 (80% range -21 to 21)
Total: 60.1 (80% range 35 to 86)
Actual: Wyoming 49 – New Mexico 45 (margin error 4.4, total error 33.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 21 | 28 | 0.58% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.57% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.