2024 Week 10 · Nov 2, 2024, 8:00 PM · Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)

Coastal Carolina @ Troy

Predicted scoreLean

Coastal Carolina

20.5

Troy

27.2

Troy win probability: 67%

Margin (Troy − Coastal Carolina): 6.6 (80% range -13 to 26)

Total: 47.7 (80% range 27 to 72)

Actual: Coastal Carolina 24 – Troy 38 (margin error 7.4, total error 14.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.