2024 Week 10 · Nov 2, 2024, 7:30 PM · Joan C. Edwards Stadium

UL Monroe @ Marshall

Predicted scoreLean

UL Monroe

22.9

Marshall

28.2

Marshall win probability: 63%

Margin (Marshall − UL Monroe): 5.3 (80% range -14 to 25)

Total: 51.2 (80% range 28 to 76)

Actual: UL Monroe 23 – Marshall 28 (margin error 0.3, total error 0.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.