2024 Week 10 · Nov 2, 2024, 7:30 PM · TDECU Stadium
Kansas State @ Houston
Predicted scoreLikely
Kansas State
30.6
Houston
20.6
Houston win probability: 26%
Margin (Houston − Kansas State): -10.0 (80% range -31 to 10)
Total: 51.2 (80% range 29 to 75)
Actual: Kansas State 19 – Houston 24 (margin error 15.0, total error 8.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 14 | 0.77% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.77% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.75% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.70% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.