2024 Week 10 · Nov 2, 2024, 7:30 PM · Jack Trice Stadium
Texas Tech @ Iowa State
Predicted scoreLikely
Texas Tech
21.9
Iowa State
31.1
Iowa State win probability: 72%
Margin (Iowa State − Texas Tech): 9.2 (80% range -11 to 29)
Total: 53.0 (80% range 30 to 77)
Actual: Texas Tech 23 – Iowa State 22 (margin error 10.2, total error 8.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.62% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.