2024 Week 10 · Nov 2, 2024, 4:00 PM · Beaver Stadium
Ohio State @ Penn State
Predicted scoreLean
Ohio State
31.3
Penn State
25.1
Penn State win probability: 35%
Margin (Penn State − Ohio State): -6.2 (80% range -27 to 14)
Total: 56.5 (80% range 33 to 82)
Actual: Ohio State 20 – Penn State 13 (margin error 0.8, total error 23.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.62% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.60% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.56% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.54% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.