2024 Week 10 · Nov 1, 2024, 11:00 PM · Pratt & Whitney Stadium

Georgia State @ UConn

Predicted scoreLikely

Georgia State

20.5

UConn

29.7

UConn win probability: 72%

Margin (UConn − Georgia State): 9.2 (80% range -11 to 29)

Total: 50.1 (80% range 28 to 73)

Actual: Georgia State 27 – UConn 34 (margin error 2.2, total error 10.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.