2024 Week 9 · Oct 27, 2024, 2:30 AM · Snapdragon Stadium

Washington State @ San Diego State

Predicted scoreLikely

Washington State

31.3

San Diego State

20.2

San Diego State win probability: 24%

Margin (San Diego State − Washington State): -11.0 (80% range -31 to 9)

Total: 51.5 (80% range 29 to 76)

Actual: Washington State 29 – San Diego State 26 (margin error 8.0, total error 3.5)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.