Predicted scoreLikely
Auburn
17.1
Kentucky
26.0
Kentucky win probability: 73%
Margin (Kentucky − Auburn): 9.0 (80% range -10 to 28)
Total: 43.1 (80% range 23 to 65)
Actual: Auburn 24 – Kentucky 10 (margin error 23.0, total error 9.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 24 | 0.88% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.87% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.86% |
| 14 | 17 | 0.83% |
| 7 | 21 | 0.83% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.