2024 Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024, 4:00 PM · Beaver Stadium
Bowling Green @ Penn State
Predicted scoreConfident
Bowling Green
9.2
Penn State
41.3
Penn State win probability: 98%
Margin (Penn State − Bowling Green): 32.1 (80% range 11 to 53)
Total: 50.4 (80% range 29 to 73)
Actual: Bowling Green 27 – Penn State 34 (margin error 25.1, total error 10.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 38 | 1.15% |
| 0 | 38 | 1.12% |
| 0 | 31 | 1.11% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.98% |
| 3 | 38 | 0.97% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.