2024 Week 9 · Oct 26, 2024, 9:00 PM · Canvas Stadium
New Mexico @ Colorado State
Predicted scoreToss-up
New Mexico
30.1
Colorado State
34.1
Colorado State win probability: 59%
Margin (Colorado State − New Mexico): 4.1 (80% range -17 to 25)
Total: 64.2 (80% range 38 to 91)
Actual: New Mexico 6 – Colorado State 17 (margin error 6.9, total error 41.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.63% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.56% |
| 24 | 35 | 0.54% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.53% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.