Predicted scoreLikely
Missouri
21.5
Alabama
33.4
Alabama win probability: 77%
Margin (Alabama − Missouri): 11.9 (80% range -8 to 32)
Total: 54.9 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: Missouri 0 – Alabama 34 (margin error 22.1, total error 20.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 38 | 0.70% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.