Predicted scoreToss-up
TCU
25.8
Utah
26.6
Utah win probability: 52%
Margin (Utah − TCU): 0.8 (80% range -20 to 21)
Total: 52.4 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: TCU 13 – Utah 7 (margin error 6.8, total error 32.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.64% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.