2024 Week 8 · Oct 19, 2024, 11:45 PM · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium

Kentucky @ Florida

Predicted scoreToss-up

Kentucky

24.2

Florida

25.9

Florida win probability: 54%

Margin (Florida − Kentucky): 1.7 (80% range -18 to 21)

Total: 50.1 (80% range 28 to 73)

Actual: Kentucky 20 – Florida 48 (margin error 26.3, total error 17.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.