2024 Week 8 · Oct 19, 2024, 8:00 PM · Maverik Stadium
New Mexico @ Utah State
Predicted scoreToss-up
New Mexico
33.4
Utah State
36.4
Utah State win probability: 57%
Margin (Utah State − New Mexico): 3.0 (80% range -18 to 25)
Total: 69.8 (80% range 44 to 98)
Actual: New Mexico 50 – Utah State 45 (margin error 8.0, total error 25.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 38 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.55% |
| 38 | 38 | 0.54% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.54% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.53% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.