2024 Week 8 · Oct 19, 2024, 7:30 PM · California Memorial Stadium

NC State @ California

Predicted scoreLikely

NC State

20.0

California

30.3

California win probability: 74%

Margin (California − NC State): 10.3 (80% range -10 to 31)

Total: 50.3 (80% range 28 to 74)

Actual: NC State 24 – California 23 (margin error 11.3, total error 3.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.