2024 Week 1 · Sep 1, 2024, 2:30 AM · Arizona Stadium
New Mexico @ Arizona
Predicted scoreConfident
New Mexico
15.5
Arizona
42.3
Arizona win probability: 95%
Margin (Arizona − New Mexico): 26.7 (80% range 6 to 49)
Total: 57.8 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: New Mexico 39 – Arizona 61 (margin error 4.7, total error 42.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 45 | 0.77% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.77% |
| 7 | 38 | 0.77% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.71% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.