2024 Week 8 · Oct 19, 2024, 7:30 PM · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium (neutral site)

Houston @ Kansas

Predicted scoreLean

Houston

24.6

Kansas

29.0

Kansas win probability: 61%

Margin (Kansas − Houston): 4.4 (80% range -17 to 25)

Total: 53.6 (80% range 31 to 78)

Actual: Houston 14 – Kansas 42 (margin error 23.6, total error 2.4)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.