2024 Week 8 · Oct 17, 2024, 1:00 AM · Sun Bowl
Florida International @ UTEP
Predicted scoreToss-up
Florida International
24.4
UTEP
23.5
UTEP win probability: 48%
Margin (UTEP − Florida International): -0.9 (80% range -21 to 18)
Total: 47.9 (80% range 27 to 72)
Actual: Florida International 21 – UTEP 30 (margin error 9.9, total error 3.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 17 | 0.83% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.80% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 14 | 0.73% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.