2024 Week 7 · Oct 13, 2024, 12:00 AM · Milan Puskar Stadium

Iowa State @ West Virginia

Predicted scoreToss-up

Iowa State

32.4

West Virginia

28.1

West Virginia win probability: 40%

Margin (West Virginia − Iowa State): -4.3 (80% range -25 to 17)

Total: 60.5 (80% range 35 to 86)

Actual: Iowa State 28 – West Virginia 16 (margin error 7.7, total error 16.5)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.