2024 Week 7 · Oct 13, 2024, 12:00 AM · Milan Puskar Stadium
Iowa State @ West Virginia
Predicted scoreToss-up
Iowa State
32.4
West Virginia
28.1
West Virginia win probability: 40%
Margin (West Virginia − Iowa State): -4.3 (80% range -25 to 17)
Total: 60.5 (80% range 35 to 86)
Actual: Iowa State 28 – West Virginia 16 (margin error 7.7, total error 16.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 28 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.58% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.56% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.