Predicted scoreLean
Syracuse
31.1
NC State
25.0
NC State win probability: 36%
Margin (NC State − Syracuse): -6.1 (80% range -27 to 14)
Total: 56.1 (80% range 33 to 81)
Actual: Syracuse 24 – NC State 17 (margin error 0.9, total error 15.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 21 | 0.68% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.