2024 Week 7 · Oct 12, 2024, 11:45 PM · Kroger Field
Vanderbilt @ Kentucky
Predicted scoreLikely
Vanderbilt
21.9
Kentucky
33.1
Kentucky win probability: 76%
Margin (Kentucky − Vanderbilt): 11.2 (80% range -9 to 31)
Total: 54.9 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: Vanderbilt 20 – Kentucky 13 (margin error 18.2, total error 21.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 28 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.