2024 Week 7 · Oct 12, 2024, 11:30 PM · Autzen Stadium
Ohio State @ Oregon
Predicted scoreLean
Ohio State
32.3
Oregon
27.4
Oregon win probability: 38%
Margin (Oregon − Ohio State): -5.0 (80% range -25 to 16)
Total: 59.7 (80% range 35 to 86)
Actual: Ohio State 31 – Oregon 32 (margin error 6.0, total error 3.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.59% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.57% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.54% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.52% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.