Predicted scoreLikely
Florida
19.4
Tennessee
33.2
Tennessee win probability: 81%
Margin (Tennessee − Florida): 13.8 (80% range -7 to 35)
Total: 52.7 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Florida 17 – Tennessee 23 (margin error 7.8, total error 12.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.67% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.