Predicted scoreToss-up
Wisconsin
23.8
Rutgers
27.4
Rutgers win probability: 59%
Margin (Rutgers − Wisconsin): 3.6 (80% range -17 to 24)
Total: 51.3 (80% range 28 to 76)
Actual: Wisconsin 42 – Rutgers 7 (margin error 38.6, total error 2.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.95% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.75% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.