2024 Week 7 · Oct 12, 2024, 4:00 PM · Kinnick Stadium
Washington @ Iowa
Predicted scoreToss-up
Washington
25.0
Iowa
23.1
Iowa win probability: 45%
Margin (Iowa − Washington): -1.9 (80% range -21 to 18)
Total: 48.1 (80% range 27 to 72)
Actual: Washington 16 – Iowa 40 (margin error 25.9, total error 7.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.85% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.70% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.