2024 Week 7 · Oct 12, 2024, 4:00 PM · Bryant-Denny Stadium
South Carolina @ Alabama
Predicted scoreLikely
South Carolina
15.5
Alabama
29.8
Alabama win probability: 83%
Margin (Alabama − South Carolina): 14.3 (80% range -5 to 34)
Total: 45.2 (80% range 24 to 68)
Actual: South Carolina 25 – Alabama 27 (margin error 12.3, total error 6.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 24 | 0.88% |
| 7 | 24 | 0.88% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.85% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.82% |
| 7 | 21 | 0.80% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.