2024 Week 7 · Oct 12, 2024, 4:00 PM · Bryant-Denny Stadium

South Carolina @ Alabama

Predicted scoreLikely

South Carolina

15.5

Alabama

29.8

Alabama win probability: 83%

Margin (Alabama − South Carolina): 14.3 (80% range -5 to 34)

Total: 45.2 (80% range 24 to 68)

Actual: South Carolina 25 – Alabama 27 (margin error 12.3, total error 6.8)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.