2024 Week 7 · Oct 11, 2024, 12:00 AM · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium

UTEP @ Western Kentucky

Predicted scoreLikely

UTEP

17.6

Western Kentucky

32.5

Western Kentucky win probability: 83%

Margin (Western Kentucky − UTEP): 14.9 (80% range -4 to 35)

Total: 50.2 (80% range 28 to 73)

Actual: UTEP 17 – Western Kentucky 44 (margin error 12.1, total error 10.8)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.