2024 Week 6 · Oct 5, 2024, 11:30 PM · Jack Trice Stadium
Baylor @ Iowa State
Predicted scoreLikely
Baylor
17.9
Iowa State
34.3
Iowa State win probability: 85%
Margin (Iowa State − Baylor): 16.4 (80% range -4 to 37)
Total: 52.2 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Baylor 21 – Iowa State 43 (margin error 5.6, total error 11.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 14 | 38 | 0.69% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.