2024 Week 6 · Oct 5, 2024, 11:00 PM · Albertsons Stadium
Utah State @ Boise State
Predicted scoreConfident
Utah State
19.5
Boise State
38.7
Boise State win probability: 88%
Margin (Boise State − Utah State): 19.2 (80% range -2 to 41)
Total: 58.2 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: Utah State 30 – Boise State 62 (margin error 12.8, total error 33.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.63% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.63% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.62% |
| 14 | 38 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.