2024 Week 6 · Oct 5, 2024, 8:15 PM · FirstBank Stadium
Alabama @ Vanderbilt
Predicted scoreConfident
Alabama
36.0
Vanderbilt
19.0
Vanderbilt win probability: 14%
Margin (Vanderbilt − Alabama): -16.9 (80% range -38 to 3)
Total: 55.0 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: Alabama 35 – Vanderbilt 40 (margin error 21.9, total error 20.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 14 | 0.76% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.74% |
| 38 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 38 | 14 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.