2024 Week 6 · Oct 5, 2024, 7:30 PM · Ohio Stadium
Iowa @ Ohio State
Predicted scoreConfident
Iowa
13.1
Ohio State
36.0
Ohio State win probability: 93%
Margin (Ohio State − Iowa): 22.9 (80% range 3 to 43)
Total: 49.0 (80% range 27 to 72)
Actual: Iowa 7 – Ohio State 35 (margin error 5.1, total error 7.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 31 | 0.97% |
| 7 | 38 | 0.92% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.83% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.83% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.78% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.