Predicted scoreLikely
Tulane
33.5
UAB
22.7
UAB win probability: 25%
Margin (UAB − Tulane): -10.8 (80% range -32 to 10)
Total: 56.2 (80% range 33 to 82)
Actual: Tulane 71 – UAB 20 (margin error 40.2, total error 34.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.65% |
| 28 | 14 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.63% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.