2024 Week 6 · Oct 4, 2024, 1:00 AM · Sun Bowl
Sam Houston @ UTEP
Predicted scoreLean
Sam Houston
27.0
UTEP
21.2
UTEP win probability: 35%
Margin (UTEP − Sam Houston): -5.9 (80% range -25 to 14)
Total: 48.2 (80% range 27 to 72)
Actual: Sam Houston 41 – UTEP 21 (margin error 14.1, total error 13.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 21 | 0.76% |
| 17 | 14 | 0.75% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.74% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.72% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.