Sam's Scores

2024 Week 5 · Sep 29, 2024, 3:00 AM · Rose Bowl

Oregon @ UCLA

Predicted scoreLikely
Oregon
36.5
UCLA
20.6
UCLA win probability: 16%
Margin (UCLAOregon): -16.0 (80% range -37 to 4)
Total: 57.1 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: Oregon 34UCLA 13 (margin error 5.0, total error 10.1)
Most likely scorelines
AwayHomeProbability
38170.66%
38210.65%
31140.64%
31170.62%
24140.60%
Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.

Home score →Away score →