2024 Week 5 · Sep 29, 2024, 2:00 AM · Albertsons Stadium

Washington State @ Boise State

Predicted scoreLean

Washington State

26.8

Boise State

32.2

Boise State win probability: 63%

Margin (Boise State − Washington State): 5.4 (80% range -15 to 27)

Total: 59.0 (80% range 35 to 85)

Actual: Washington State 24 – Boise State 45 (margin error 15.6, total error 10.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.