2024 Week 1 · Aug 31, 2024, 8:00 PM · Allen E. Paulson Stadium

Boise State @ Georgia Southern

Predicted scoreLikely

Boise State

31.7

Georgia Southern

23.2

Georgia Southern win probability: 30%

Margin (Georgia Southern − Boise State): -8.5 (80% range -29 to 11)

Total: 54.9 (80% range 31 to 80)

Actual: Boise State 56 – Georgia Southern 45 (margin error 2.5, total error 46.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.